What are the odds? As a poker player, that’s the first thing you should ask. Here some key numbers to get your play off the ground.
The chances of getting a top starting hand (of double aces, picture pairs or A-K suited), is a minute 2.1%. Hold out for one of these and you’ll never get started.
Dec 13, 2019 Odds of flopping one pair on unpaired hole cards is 41%, I am sure. I’m certain that it is over 27%. The 41% number is a common misconception. It is true that if your hole cards are unpaired then you have a 40.408% chance of having a pair after the flop. As you can see in the above table, if you’re holding a flush draw after the flop (9 outs) you have a 19.1% chance of hitting it on the turn or expressed in odds, you’re 4.22-to-1 against. The odds are slightly better from the turn to the river, and much better when you have both cards still to come. So while it's true that for a flush draw, the odds are 1.9 to 1 that the flush will complete, you can only call a 1.9 to 1 pot on the flop if your opponent will let you see both the turn and river cards for one call. EXPLANATION: Without possible straights and flushes, the only possible way to flop a pair or better is to have the flop hit your hand. So, I calculated the odds of the flop missing you and subtracting it from 100%. The odds of each flop card missing your pocket cards are 44-in-50, 43-in-49, and 42-in-48, respectively. After the first card comes on the flop there are only 3 cards of that rank left and the odds of the second flop card being the same rank as the first are 3 in 51. Then the odds of the third flop card being the same rank as the first two are 2 in 50.
If you've got a flush draw (one card short of a full flush) after the flop, you'll make your hand 34.97% of the time. That's just over a third.
Don't play any two cards just because they're suited. It only improves your hand by 2.5%.
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Urutan kartu tertinggi pada poker. The chance of one of your hole cards making a pair on the flop is 32.43%, or about a third.
By the river, your chances of making a pair go up to roughly a half.
If you flop an open-ended straight draw this gives you eight outs (eight possible cards that will complete the hand), so you'll hit your hand by the river 31.5% of the time. Just make sure you're getting pot odds (the value of the pot versus the value of your bet) to see the next card.
If you already have a pair, the odds of flopping a set (three of a kind) are only 7.5/1 – so make sure you only play small pairs cheaply, and only if the pot is worth it.
Rarely worth drawing to, with the turn and river cards to come you'll hit your gutshot straight (four outs) approximately 9% of the time.
When two pairs go head to head, the bigger pair will win roughly 80% of the time (or four times out of five). So if you’ve got queens, and see a bet, raise and re-raise in front of you, you might be up against aces, kings, or possibly both. Time to fold.
If you need two exact cards on the turn and river, the chance of getting them both is only 0.3%. If you get one, there's a 4.55% Play free slots online for free no download. chance of getting the other.
A pair against two overcards is often called a coin-flip or race, because they each win about half the time. If the overcards are suited, the pair will win 46%-54% of the time, if not, 48%-57% of the time.
If your top card matches the other person's, but your kicker is smaller (for example, queen against either ace or king, you’ve only got a 24% chance of winning (or about one in four).
People talk about middle suited connectors being better than aces, because of the straight and flush possibilities. But if you're holding the aces, don't panic – the over-pair will beat the suited connectors approximately 80% of the time.
Odds Of Flush Draw After Flop
It might not feel like it, but you'll be dealt a pocket pair on average once every 17 hands, or about 6% of the time.
There's a reason for folding low hands. Even if they’re suited, the chance of flopping a flush is only 0.8% – or 124/1.
The probability of flopping two-pair (from non-paired hole cards) is about 2%.
Pre Flop Hand Odds
If you do get two pair on the flop, the chances of making at least a full house by the river is 16.74%.
Poker Odds Flush After Flop GameFlop Poker Online
But if you flop three-of-a-kind, the odds of making a full house or better by the river go up to 33.4%, or one in three.
You bluffed with random cards to steal the blinds and were called by A-K. Oops! Actually, your random lower cards will win about 35% of the time.
Pocket jacks is known as a big danger hand in Texas Hold’em. It may look good, but the chances of a higher card turning up on the flop is 52%, giving your ‘fish-hooks’ less than half a chance of survival.
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